Catégories

Tous les marchés24390Trending48Politics2465Sports16746Crypto3794Up or Down3481Finance407Geopolitics416Earnings15Tech276Culture430Weather271AI214Elections1803Economy169World1068Business241Science77

Espace de travail

Profil
PolymarxPolymarx
À proposConditions d'utilisationAML / KYCPolitique de confidentialitéLicences
MarchésActivité

science

77 marchés

Science

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

1%
$815.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%
$582.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Science

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

26%
$313.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

2%
$196.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

7%
$141.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

6%
$131.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

DDecember 31, 202610%
DDecember 31, 202735%
1 de plus
$128.5K Vol.•Jan 1, 2029
Science

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

9%
$102.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

September 301%
December 314%
$91.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027?88%
March 31, 202747%
$40.6K Vol.•Jun 30, 2027
Science

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

0%
$27.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

September 3085%
October 3197%
7 de plus
$23.9K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

<9501%
950–9990%
6 de plus
$23.7K Vol.•Jan 10, 2027
Science

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%
$22.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX37%
OpenAI2%
10 de plus
$21.0K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Science

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

3%
$18.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%
$13.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

Elon Bull Run Combo

6%
$12.4K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SSpaceX53%
OOpenAI47%
$12.0K Vol.•Dec 31, 2027

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

June 30, 202753%
December 31, 202767%
1 de plus
$11.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028
Science

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

9%
$11.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

4%
$9.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

FFewer than 50%
550%
4 de plus
$7.5K Vol.•Jun 30, 2027

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

0053%
11-335%
2 de plus
$6.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 202765%
June 30, 202728%
1 de plus
$5.6K Vol.•Dec 31, 2027

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 202617%
September 30, 20263%
4 de plus
$5.4K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028
Science

New pandemic in 2026?

6%
$5.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202716%
$3.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

FFewer than 2012%
220 to 3448%
2 de plus
$3.7K Vol.•Mar 31, 2027

Precipitation in Seoul in September?

<75mm63%
75-100mm6%
6 de plus
$3.1K Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

<275mm64%
275-300mm16%
8 de plus
$2.5K Vol.•Oct 1, 2026
Science

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

3%
$2.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 3145%
December 3143%
$1.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Science

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?

11%
$1.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

6%
$1.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

<1"50%
1-1.5"19%
5 de plus
$1.0K Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

<$600B1%
$600-$700B1%
5 de plus
$1.0K Vol.•Sep 30, 2026
Science

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

64%
$886 Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2028

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑3.5k99%
↑4.5k87%
6 de plus
$769 Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Science

Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

11%
$686 Vol.•Ends Jul 1, 2027
Science

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

5%
$660 Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

September 1 to September 10, 20261%
September 11 to September 15, 20264%
4 de plus
$658 Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

October 3165%
December 3166%
$609 Vol.•-

Precipitation in London in September?

<30mm26%
30-40mm26%
5 de plus
$532 Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

176%
222%
4 de plus
$497 Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Science

Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

1%
$425 Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

12%
$380 Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

TTexas17%
LLouisiana14%
17 de plus
$374 Vol.•Dec 8, 2026