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geopolitics

416 marchés

World

US x Russia military clash by...?

5%
$1.1M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Israel closes its airspace by...?

96%
$806.7K Vol.•Ends Oct 1, 2026
World

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

9%
$687.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

7%
$533.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

US military draft authorized in 2026?

3%
$524.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will any country leave NATO by...?

2%
$395.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3155%
September 3014%
3 de plus
$374.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

9%
$276.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%
$272.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

12%
$230.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

4%
$194.8K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%
$194.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

4%
$187.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

9%
$185.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%
$179.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

4%
$167.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

5%
$165.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

3%
$162.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%
$158.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

7%
$153.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%
$152.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%
$149.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu28%
Naftali Bennett8%
17 de plus
$140.8K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

11%
$140.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

September 451%
September 1161%
3 de plus
$135.7K Vol.•Sep 30, 2026
World

Maduro guilty of all counts?

23%
$133.1K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2027
World

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

7%
$126.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

2%
$124.9K Vol.•Ends Sep 30, 2026
World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%
$121.5K Vol.•Ends Sep 15, 2026
World

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
$115.7K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

September 307%
December 3151%
$115.6K Vol.•Sep 30, 2026
World

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

9%
$114.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%
$113.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

September 301%
December 312%
$111.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

6%
$100.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 302%
December 317%
$97.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

7%
$94.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

9%
$92.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

3%
$92.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2%
$83.6K Vol.•Ends Oct 1, 2026

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 3087%
October 3178%
2 de plus
$81.1K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
World

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

6%
$80.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

6%
$76.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

6%
$74.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

December 31, 20267%
September 30, 20261%
1 de plus
$70.8K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027
World

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

6%
$70.4K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

4%
$64.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump2%
Pope Leo XIV1%
18 de plus
$64.7K Vol.•Oct 10, 2026