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Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Politics

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any individual serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison, and the cause of that incarceration is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying incarceration must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of incarceration may be established through official charging documents, court rulings, sentencing statements, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the incarceration to information contained in those released files. Incarceration driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official court records or government statements, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

24H-VOLUMEN

$340.1K

LIQUIDITÄT

$340.1K

GUTHABEN

$0

Auflösung gemäß der offiziellen Ergebnisquelle für dieses Event.

Kommentare (42)

Rigorous Apr 11

^Check my track record and the core evidence I posted in the Epstein market (Epstein client list released by). This is a 7x upside opportunity.

Rigorous Apr 11

^Check my track record and the core evidence I posted in the Epstein market (Epstein client list released by). This is a 7x upside opportunity.

Earningg Mar 14

Epstein client list released by June 30?

ClaudiaLeilanSophia Feb 26

You have a poor reading comprehension. The brothers were arrested long before the last epstein diclosures, it doesn't matter if they are in them and if they serve time this year, that won't resolve this market to "yes". The only way the market would resolve to "yes" in this case is if they received new charges this year related to the last files, and served time, though they haven't received any new charges related to them so far.

weneedrepairs Feb 20

Will be interesting if a small county sheriff decides to make an insider trading. A small arrest and release just to make it to the news would bring the odds to 80

Program76 Feb 19

:) [link removed]

Calext Feb 19

Wasted Prince

Program76 Feb 19

Interestingly the rules actually only say US jail when it's talking about local jail. For the federal or state jail it does not specify. Regardless, the Alexander brothers are in trial right now and are in the epstein files. Trial underway for trafficking and somehow no one is talking about it: [link removed]

Gargoy Feb 19

?

veryhotgambler Feb 19

Prince andrew will talk...

thepaulus Feb 19

this could lead to arrests in the US

luismilabs Feb 19

Came to post the same but the rules mention that it should be in the US.

Marooski Feb 19

Not US

Anonym123 Feb 19

Prince Andrew got arrested

weneedrepairs Feb 19

Tick tock [link removed]

Program76 Feb 18

Seems like this market has not seen yestereday's trial beginning for Alon and Oren brothers who are both involved in the epstein docs. Trafficking case is underway

Program76 Feb 18

we will see 100 soon for Yes based on the new Alon & Oren twin brothers case in trial right now

cassiusclay123 Feb 14

jagland thorbjorn 😆

Primalinstincts007 Feb 14

2

Ralphi Feb 12

someone will

weneedrepairs Feb 11

More redacted names to be revealed by the DOJ.

0x9721adfF3dA9949344f57711c7a939fcC8500c3e-1768992992824 Feb 8

[link removed]

0x9721adfF3dA9949344f57711c7a939fcC8500c3e-1768992992824 Feb 8

[link removed]

jchg Feb 8

They must sacrifice one of the elites

HopeDisLasts Feb 8

unlikly in a year

teddybear123 Feb 7

bill clinton is going to testify & more will follow suit. somebody is getting arrested

Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc Feb 5

nothing ever happens

fkdfitdutdydustuktdhb Feb 4

yeah

WWineter Feb 4

Just for justice.

Xfiano Feb 4

There will still be new suspects to be imprisoned because in the files there are many people who are trapped there, and even though the elite are protected, the country's political competition is very cruel, there will still be scapegoats who become victims.

bdwhale Feb 4

helloo

bdwhale Feb 4

No one

0x7588DB999FBD356E7040D4b67591155Cc18CFbC9-1768781627452 Feb 4

There will be jailed people for sure, not in the US though

FonkeyMonkey Feb 3

Lost it all to the trump putin market, read my username 🙏

spare-me-some-change Feb 3

hello

spare-me-some-change Feb 3

I think no

Gargoy Feb 3

Leute müssen für die scheiße im knast landen sonst hab ich endgültig den Glauben verloren

iForgor Feb 3

no its all a big meme

Lambart Feb 2

This is theater, not transparency. Bondi and Blanche are protecting the elite.

Lambart Feb 2

This is theater, not transparency. Bondi and Blanche are protecting the elite.

brother-magpie Feb 2

The rules are too vaguely worded and vulnerable for interpretation. What does "attributing" mean? The incarceration might be caused by some unrelated investigation, which was ongoing before the Epstein disclosures, but where the corroborating evidence also happened to be mentioned in the disclosures.

oraculodomundo Feb 2

NINGUEM NUNCA FOI PRESO POR CAUSA DESSA HISTORIA

Yes

Potenzielle Auszahlung$625.00