Polyhype

World

US x Russia military clash by...?

5%

$1.1M Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Israel closes its airspace by...?

96%

$806.7K Vol.Ends Oct 1, 2026

World

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

9%

$687.5K Vol.Ends Dec 31, 2026

World

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

7%

$533.2K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

US military draft authorized in 2026?

3%

$524.8K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Will any country leave NATO by...?

2%

$395.8K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3155%

September 3014%

3 weitere

$374.1K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

World

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

9%

$276.7K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%

$272.7K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

12%

$230.1K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

4%

$194.8K Vol.Ends Dec 31, 2026

World

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%

$194.3K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

4%

$187.6K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

9%

$185.9K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

$179.3K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

4%

$167.0K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

5%

$165.9K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

3%

$162.5K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%

$158.9K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

7%

$153.4K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%

$152.0K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

$149.6K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu28%

Naftali Bennett8%

17 weitere

$140.8K Vol.Dec 31, 2026

Geopolitics

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

11%

$140.5K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

September 451%

September 1161%

3 weitere

$135.7K Vol.Sep 30, 2026

World

Maduro guilty of all counts?

23%

$133.1K Vol.Ends Dec 31, 2027

World

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

7%

$126.9K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

2%

$124.9K Vol.Ends Sep 30, 2026

World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%

$121.5K Vol.Ends Sep 15, 2026

World

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

$115.7K Vol.Ends Dec 31, 2026

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

September 307%

December 3151%

$115.6K Vol.Sep 30, 2026

World

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

9%

$114.7K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

$113.4K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

September 301%

December 312%

$111.7K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

World

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

6%

$100.5K Vol.Ends Dec 31, 2026

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 302%

December 317%

$97.8K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

World

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

7%

$94.8K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

9%

$92.9K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

3%

$92.5K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2%

$83.6K Vol.Ends Oct 1, 2026

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 3087%

October 3178%

2 weitere

$81.1K Vol.Dec 31, 2026

World

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

6%

$80.3K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

6%

$76.4K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

World

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

6%

$74.6K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

December 31, 20267%

September 30, 20261%

1 weitere

$70.8K Vol.Jul 1, 2027

World

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

6%

$70.4K Vol.Ends Dec 31, 2026

World

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

4%

$64.7K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump2%

Pope Leo XIV1%

18 weitere

$64.7K Vol.Oct 10, 2026

geopolitics

US x Russia military clash by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

Maduro guilty of all counts?

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

geopolitics

US x Russia military clash by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

Maduro guilty of all counts?

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?