This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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$23.3K
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$23.3K
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$0
评论（16）
arrakis42 23m ago
@ChefSlick Because 75% is way too high for October. This is an independent assessment site that scooped and analyzed all the available rumors online and they conclude that the model is still training and that : "Gemini 4 should launch in November or December.”. 9to5google com/2026/07/26/google-gemini-4-teases/
arrakis42 33m ago
This market doesnt make any sense!
Never-KYS Aug 26
I guess it's time boys
Mikelious Jul 6
It's coming home 17th of July lets goooo
Mikelious Jul 6
Gemini 3.5 pro just announced as "coming soon" on Google Deep Mind. Gemini 4 is inevitably going to release with it as per credible leakers.
noniqque May 19
we should just short google bro
418Imateapot May 12
Yes.
noniqque Apr 30
are prediction markets still extremely inefficient or am I extremely dumb
AaAbBbCcCdDdEeEFfF Jan 22
Was spotted in Antigravity [link removed]
AaAbBbCcCdDdEeEFfF Jan 22
Guys they're already A/B testing Gemini 4.0 [link removed]
George.Smiley Dec 25
A hedge, probably won't pay out but 6 months is a long time
0xc6bD70e4d462CA1CE4360E47294671E997480b58-1745132572437 Dec 25
Did you buy yes for funsies
traderinchief Dec 19
Odds are ridiculously high, there's no chance this happens. 3.0 is not even out of preview yet and there were 10 months between 2.0 and 3.0
George.Smiley Dec 17
I know that. It's surprising though that we got a market for 4.0 before 3.5 given that Google does releases in 0.5 increments
ZynBaby Dec 17
if u read the rules this is gemini 4.0 and a 4.0 flash market
George.Smiley Dec 17
Crazy we got a Gemini 4.0 market before a Gemini 3.5 market
