PolymarxPolymarx
All Weather markets

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Weather

Eventcmtla25qv0gfomv01gls3ibzq
Closes in

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

24H VOLUME

$843

LIQUIDITY

$843

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (9)

pokjkj Jul 21

Stop it right now, that's way too scary!😀😀😀😀

kdnckszp Jul 2

no

Davidbill Jun 2

lol

wi2.mk May 27

why was there a spike recently ?

0xD3Ee8987cA687512609749E6E44AE8c4dAcB9883-1775143682824 May 26

Devil's advocate - there's plenty of middle-ground scenarios where ebola has mutated or a new variant becomes prevalent with a higher R0, perhaps as high as HIV, but remains well below a world-ending threshold (as HIV has). No buyers can get better interest rates on other markets though.

MtnMark May 22

Former CDC director on Ebola outbreak: ‘I suspect this is going to become a very significant pandemic’ - The Hill

MtnMark May 22

Former CDC director on Ebola outbreak: ‘I suspect this is going to become a very significant pandemic’- The Hill[link removed]

DonationsReceiver May 21

JUST IN: Former CDC director warns Ebola outbreak may escalate into a major global pandemic - The Hill

0xDcfE3968345d3420ad63D6410a96C8C3aA31B7d3-1778156552428 May 18

This is free money. Why do people even bet on this? In the ~0.0001% off-chance of it actually happening, your money will be worthless anyways.

Yes

Potential payout$833.33