This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated. The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chambers. For determining Senate control, all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. For determining House control, all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026. For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election. Senate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
24H VOLUME
$154.0K
LIQUIDITY
$154.0K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
CKAB 2h ago
SCOTUS can't do anything about it because voting is up to the states regardless.
ChetChetwick 4h ago
The SCOTUS is supposed to rule on mail-in balloting soon. I imagine this is going to change things in a hurry.
ChefSlice Sep 3
Missouri Supreme Court blocks Republican Gerrymandered Map. Restores previous map.
0x5B7badcFEE4141d72EB1ef0C180D5501403fBBbf-1759545338817 Aug 31
Yall finna lose some money 😂 house is all but guaranteed for the dems smh
EastBoat Aug 28
The Republicans cannot lose the Senate in the midterm elections. —China Prophet
Cope-seethe-dial8 Aug 27
lake epstein
hyper-liquid-xyz Aug 27
Trump calling the Lake Ontario as Lake America amid the trade war. US need fix it attitude in order for him to win midterms.
hyper-liquid-xyz Aug 27
Well BeamTracker's post of anti-ship missiles hitting a ship with IRGC Ali Bk's post having 🤣🤣 in the comments tells you everything you need to know. Trump will get support if he does the right thing against Iran terrorists!
braceforimpact Aug 25
blue sweep from east to west
SteveEricJordan Aug 23
for everyone wondering, the actual end date is in the rules dropdown
perpcode0072nell Aug 14
sweep
JustTheFacts Aug 13
Major cope. The GOP is cooked. People still blamed Biden for Afghanistan years later, it won't matter if the war ends today.
AngryBurgerkingPassenger Aug 13
Yeh I know for the republicans to win
CKAB Aug 11
Longer this Iran bullshit continues, the more likely sweep becomes.
JohnnyBlaze1 Aug 10
"Vibes on the ground" are we deadass
KENWOOD3010 Aug 9
yaaa
KENWOOD3010 Aug 9
almost 50 % chances are there for both totaly confused
CKAB Aug 7
The longer this Iran bullshit goes on, the worst it gets for anything but Dem Sweep in this market.
hyper-liquid-xyz Aug 2
Every time US would TACO it is a go ahead signal for Iran to do free attacks immediately in US bases or the Gulf without increasing oil prices.
0x91cE3E65C6caE4a67b3486cA0E4a94d43E73D165-1728125686608 Jul 30
eyya
hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 26
ALJAZEERA, UKMTO: IRAN TESTING US WEAKNESS AND SURRENDER BY SHIP HITTING A MINE IN HORMUZ 3 HOURS AGO, UNKNOWN PROJECTILE HIT SHIP IN RED SEA, US POSSIBLE WAVING WHITE FLAG IN ACCEPTING TOLL STRAIT
ChetChetwick Jul 25
yeah polls in Texas and Ohio haven't been favorable to Dems lately and as we draw closer to the election it's likely polls will tilt further towards the Republicans. I just can't see them winning those two states, let alone Nebraska and Iowa.
asdfdf2223 Jul 25
arkets price
JustTheFacts Jul 25
I can guarantee Mary will win Alaska. They love her there. States like that you can tell who will win just by the vibes on the ground.
FCKU Jul 25
idk why people are actually believing polls that say dems have a chance in NE, AK, OH, IA. these states have become SOLID red, this is not 2018 + some brownie points for dems
FCKU Jul 25
dems are NOT getting 51 seats bud this is not 2008
JustTheFacts Jul 24
Comparing a Trump presidential election to a midterm is hilarious. Check out RCP state polls for 2022.
FCKU Jul 24
yeah like the pollsters were good in 2024 lmao
JustTheFacts Jul 23
How is Dems sweep not higher when two of the best pollsters have them up 8-13 pts?
EasyBirddd Jul 23
Ayo
RCRVNJ Jul 23
Trump speech
hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 20
BREAKING: Mediators had proposed a 10-day pause in hostilities between the US and ISIS-like Iran to revive their fragile interim peace agreement. Negotiation with ISIS-like Iran might be successful!
0xBdE37A19aAb4EBaEFAf7263E7C6010982f6e317f-1773683866961 Jul 17
00jbvof3
0xBdE37A19aAb4EBaEFAf7263E7C6010982f6e317f-1773683866961 Jul 17
Perps Code: 00jbvof3
Tomgaine Jul 17
fuck you all dump shits..
hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 17
Trump speech was a nothing burger. Voter fraud! zzz he barely discussed Iran
xlAG Jul 14
1
1eone Jul 12
hi
fghj0987y Jul 9
Markets price divided Congress as the most probable power balance post-2026 midterm elections.
MichaelPNW Jul 7
Decent chance the R's sweep. They will hold the Senate and the House is a toss up. The certainly have a better chance than 15cents to the dollar.
hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 5
Recency bias is a key element why the vote is split now but won't be in the future
hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 5
Macro events happening way close in Nov have more impact than early 2026
zxvv120 Jul 2
The 2026 midterms could split congressional power, limiting the president’s policy agenda.
0xEFB90c1feCfFB3874aB75b1E73Ee81bb87874383-1758826993606 Jul 1
wishful thinking
fvb8 Jun 27
force
0x33668 Jun 26
jlj
Lusankaya Jun 26
Oh tell me, when did that happen the last time? And how have voting behavior prediction and mapdrawing evolved since?
Tradersamzy Jun 25
Interesting market this
EngiDarius Jun 23
This guy has never heard of a dummy dummymander I can tell
BananCrypto Jun 22
i think volume must be higher here
